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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Terry McLaurin is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 81st percentile among wideouts with 7.1 targets.
  • The Vikings safeties project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • Terry McLaurin's 71.6% Route Participation% this year reflects a noteworthy decline in his pass attack volume over last year's 84.3% mark.
  • Terry McLaurin's pass-catching performance diminished this season, totaling a mere 3.5 adjusted catches vs 4.8 last season.

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