Terry McLaurin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2025

Updated Dec 1, 2025 1:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 56.9% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.
Terry McLaurin's 55.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 63.7.
Terry McLaurin's receiving skills have diminished this season, compiling a measly 2.7 adjusted catches compared to 4.8 last season.
Terry McLaurin's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 70.4% to 61.3%.

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