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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to earn 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack this week (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.0% in games he has played).
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Completion% in the NFL (72.1%) versus wideouts this year (72.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Terry McLaurin's receiving skills have diminished this season, compiling just 3.5 yards per game compared to 4.6 last season.
  • Terry McLaurin's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 61.8% to 56.2%.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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