Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 6, 2025

Updated Oct 11, 2025 12:12 PM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
In this week's contest, Terry McLaurin is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among wide receivers with 7.0 targets.
When talking about air yards, Terry McLaurin grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accruing a monstrous 93.0 per game.
Terry McLaurin has been in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 62.6 mark since the start of last season.
The Bears pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 8.77 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the league.

Favors Under

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 55.0% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Washington Commanders have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Commanders grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year.