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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

With a 66.5% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL has been the Commanders.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Terry McLaurin to notch 7.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.

Terry McLaurin's 51.5% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 70.4% figure.

Terry McLaurin's 6.3 adjusted yards per target this year represents a noteable reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 8.6 figure.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Raiders defense has surrendered a mere 130.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 8th-best in the league.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, allowing 7.80 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

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