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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Terry McLaurin is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 81st percentile among wideouts with 7.1 targets.
  • Terry McLaurin has posted far more air yards this year (112.0 per game) than he did last year (94.0 per game).
  • With a stellar 54.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (86th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin ranks among the top WRs in the game in football.
  • This year, the porous Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a whopping 8.74 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • Terry McLaurin's 71.6% Route Participation% this year reflects a noteworthy decline in his pass attack volume over last year's 84.3% mark.
  • Terry McLaurin's 59.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a material regression in his receiving talent over last year's 70.4% rate.

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