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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to pass on 61.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.3 total plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

The 10th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Commanders this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).

The projections expect Terry McLaurin to garner 7.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Commanders being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the New York Giants, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.7 per game) this year.

Terry McLaurin's 8.1 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a significant reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 9.9 figure.

Terry McLaurin's 3.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a meaningful decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.8% figure.

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