Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to earn 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack this week (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.0% in games he has played).
Terry McLaurin has been among the best WRs in the game this year, averaging an impressive 60.0 yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

Terry McLaurin has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (97.0 per game) than he did last season (103.0 per game).
The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Terry McLaurin's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 61.8% to 56.2%.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.