Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders rank as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 70.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Terry McLaurin has run a route on 94.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to earn 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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