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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-354).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -305 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -354.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (68.5%).

The Chicago Bears cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Washington Commanders O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.

Terry McLaurin has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).

Terry McLaurin's 43.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 68.0.

The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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