My Account Log Out
 
 
Terrace Marshall Jr.

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Terrace Marshall Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.0 (-160/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.0 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are an enormous 13-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • Terrace Marshall's 33.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 14.6.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Panthers have been the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 56.6% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Terrace Marshall's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.9% to 55.7%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™