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Terrace Marshall Jr.

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 6th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 138.8 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Saints defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.
  • This year, the porous Saints defense has been torched for the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a monstrous 5.02 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has accrued far fewer air yards this season (3.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).
  • Terrace Marshall Jr.'s 3.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 24.6.
  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (4.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
  • Terrace Marshall Jr. profiles as one of the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a mere 4.91 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 19th percentile among WRs
  • With a weak 2.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Terrace Marshall Jr. rates among the best wide receivers in the game in football in the open field.

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