Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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NFL · Player Props

Terrace Marshall Jr.

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a big 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 63.7% of their chances: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Buccaneers defense this year: most in football.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
While Terrace Marshall Jr. has accounted for 8.7% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Las Vegas's pass game in this contest at 3.2%.
With a feeble 16.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Terrace Marshall Jr. ranks as one of the weakest pass-catching wide receivers in football.
Terrace Marshall Jr. ranks as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging just 4.77 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 19th percentile among WRs
With a subpar 2.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (22nd percentile) last year, Terrace Marshall Jr. stands among the top WRs in the league in football in picking up extra yardage.