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Terrace Marshall Jr.

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and The leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 5.9% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football.

The Vikings defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in football (179.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers as the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.1% pass rate.

The Panthers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.

Terrace Marshall Jr.'s 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 44.2.

Terrace Marshall Jr.'s sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.6% to 49.7%.

Terrace Marshall Jr.'s pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 4.08 yards-per-target compared to a 9.75 rate last season.

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