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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+144/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -162.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Tee Higgins has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
  • Tee Higgins has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (84.0 per game) than he did last season (97.0 per game).
  • Tee Higgins's 52.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 61.4.

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