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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Tee Higgins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-270).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -270.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals will be forced to utilize backup QB Jake Browning in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a big -10-point underdog in this game.

The projections expect the Bengals as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 60.5% red zone pass rate.

Tee Higgins has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% this year, which puts him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (just 48.2 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Detroit Lions, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.

After accumulating 97.0 air yards per game last year, Tee Higgins has undergone a big decline this year, now boasting 73.0 per game.

Tee Higgins's 52.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 61.4.

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