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Tee Higgins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+109/-127).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -127.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.Tee Higgins has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 19.0% this year, which ranks him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.With a terrific rate of 0.71 per game through the air (99th percentile), Tee Higgins places as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to wide receivers this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.After totaling 97.0 air yards per game last year, Tee Higgins has seen a big decline this year, currently sitting at 89.0 per game.Tee Higgins's 51.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 61.4.The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
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