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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 130.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.7 plays per game.
  • Tee Higgins has compiled far fewer air yards this season (90.0 per game) than he did last season (97.0 per game).
  • Tee Higgins's 51.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 61.4.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
  • Tee Higgins's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 71.4% to 56.7%.

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