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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 65.9% of their opportunities: the highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Tee Higgins to accrue 7.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 4th-worst LB corps in football this year when it comes to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 52.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.0 per game) this year.
  • Tee Higgins's 49.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 61.4.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Tee Higgins's receiving performance has tailed off this year, notching just 2.9 adjusted receptions vs 6.2 last year.

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