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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+114/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offense has played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.22 seconds per snap.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tee Higgins to accrue 6.7 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Tee Higgins's 51.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 61.4.
  • Tee Higgins's receiving skills have worsened this year, accumulating just 3.6 adjusted receptions compared to 6.2 last year.
  • Tee Higgins's 61.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 71.4% mark.

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