|
|
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -150.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.In this week's contest, Tee Higgins is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.2 targets.As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Arizona's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.Tee Higgins's 51.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 61.4.The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.Tee Higgins's pass-catching performance diminished this year, accumulating just 3.6 adjusted receptions compared to 6.2 last year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
