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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Bengals, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.7 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • The Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (40.7 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Tee Higgins's 49.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 61.4.
  • The Bengals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Tee Higgins's pass-catching performance worsened this season, totaling a mere 3.3 adjusted catches vs 6.2 last season.

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