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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Tee Higgins is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.2 targets.
  • Tee Higgins slots into the 85th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a superb 61.4 mark last year.
  • Tee Higgins grades out as one of the best pass-catching WRs last year, averaging a remarkable 6.2 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Last year, the daunting Browns defense has given up a mere 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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