Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 8.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins's 49.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 78th percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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