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Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-170/+140).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to earn 7.1 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.Tee Higgins's 56.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 88th percentile for wide receivers.Tee Higgins has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.Tee Higgins's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 68.2% to 78.1%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.The Cincinnati Bengals have utilized play action on a measly 18.9% of their passing plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
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