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Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-115/-118).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 65.9% of their opportunities: the highest clip on the slate this week.Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The predictive model expects Tee Higgins to accrue 7.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.This year, the deficient Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a monstrous 9.87 yards.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 52.6 plays per game.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.0 per game) this year.After accruing 97.0 air yards per game last year, Tee Higgins has gotten worse this year, now averaging 80.0 per game.Tee Higgins's 49.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 61.4.The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
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