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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 68.5% of their opportunities: the highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.0 per game) this year.
  • This week, Tee Higgins is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Bengals have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 48.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • After averaging 97.0 air yards per game last season, Tee Higgins has posted significant losses this season, now sitting at 76.0 per game.
  • Tee Higgins's 50.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 61.4.

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