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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offense has played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.22 seconds per snap.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tee Higgins to accrue 6.7 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Tee Higgins ranks as one of the most efficient receivers in football, averaging an impressive 9.27 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Tee Higgins has put up quite a few less air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (97.0 per game).
  • Tee Higgins's 51.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 61.4.
  • Tee Higgins has posted significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (55.0) this year than he did last year (84.0).

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