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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This week, Tee Higgins is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.3 targets.
  • This year, the weak Dolphins pass defense has been torched for a staggering 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-highest rate in the league.
  • The Miami defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the formidable Dolphins defense has given up a paltry 119.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-best in the NFL.

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