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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 66.8% pass rate.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 8th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to earn 8.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game this week (25.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a huge 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Tee Higgins has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (94.0 per game).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.7%) versus WRs this year (62.7%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 8th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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