Teddy Bridgewater Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Teddy Bridgewater

NFL · Player Props

Teddy Bridgewater

QB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Teddy Bridgewater Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Dolphins O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in run blocking.
The New England Patriots defensive tackles profile as the 5th-worst DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
The Miami Dolphins have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Miami Dolphins have gone no-huddle on 13.9% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Miami Dolphins have utilized some form of misdirection on 56.0% of their plays since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins will be starting backup QB Teddy Bridgewater in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Teddy Bridgewater to notch 2.4 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.

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