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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -320 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Saints offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • The passing TD column reads "0" on Taysom Hill's player page since the start of last season.
  • With an outstanding rate of 0.55 rushing touchdowns per game (100th percentile), Taysom Hill stands among the best running quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of CBs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

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