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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-285).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -285.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.1 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Taysom Hill has run for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league when it comes to QBs (3rd percentile).
  • This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans defense has yielded a colossal 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.4% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Taysom Hill has been among the weakest touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging a paltry 0.08 per game while ranking in the 3rd percentile.
  • This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans run defense has yielded a massive 1.27 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

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