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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

New Orleans Saints vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+345/-500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -360 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 134.6 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • The Saints O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • With a lousy rate of just 0.00 TDs on the ground per game (3rd percentile), Taysom Hill rates among the weakest running QBs in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.6% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • The passing touchdown column reads "0" on Taysom Hill's box scores this year.

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