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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+430/-445).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -450 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -445.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -5-point underdogs.
  • With a 59.2% rate of throwing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL in these situations has been the New Orleans Saints.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The running TD column reads "0" on Taysom Hill's stats page this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Saints to pass on 54.3% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Taysom Hill has not passed for any touchdowns this year.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 9th-fewest passing TDs in the league: 1.22 per game this year.
  • This year, the poor Carolina Panthers run defense has been torched for a staggering 1.11 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 8th-largest rate in football.

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