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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league (40.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • In totaling a colossal 4.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, Taysom Hill ranks among the top QBs in the NFL (84th percentile) when talking about running volume.
  • Taysom Hill has picked up 27.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among QBs (82nd percentile).
  • The Tampa Bay defensive ends profile as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Taysom Hill's ground effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.72 mark last year.

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