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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-109/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 47.5% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • In averaging a staggering 4.1 carries per game this year, Taysom Hill ranks among the top QBs in the NFL (78th percentile) in regards to rushing utilization.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Taysom Hill has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
  • Taysom Hill's running effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling just 2.36 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 7.72 figure last year.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been great this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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