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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (43.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • In tallying a monstrous 4.1 rush attempts per game this year, Taysom Hill places among the top QBs in football (76th percentile) in regards to ground game utilization.
  • The Buccaneers linebackers rank as the 9th-worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a giant -8.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Taysom Hill's 9.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a material diminishment in his running ability over last season's 38.0 mark.
  • Taysom Hill's running efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating a measly 2.18 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.72 mark last season.
  • This year, the formidable Tampa Bay Buccaneers run defense has allowed a meager 100.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 8th-best in the NFL.

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