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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+125/-179).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.4% run rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.62 seconds per snap.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.
  • In logging a monstrous 4.6 carries per game this year, Taysom Hill ranks among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (83rd percentile) when it comes to rushing volume.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (145 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Taysom Hill's 10.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects an impressive regression in his rushing prowess over last season's 38.0 mark.
  • Taysom Hill's 2.17 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a significant diminishment in his running talent over last year's 7.72 rate.
  • The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 8th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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