Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
In registering a massive 5.0 carries per game this year, Taysom Hill slots in among the top quarterbacks in the league (83rd percentile) when it comes to rushing usage.

Favors Under

The Saints have been the 8th-least run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 36.6% run rate.
Taysom Hill has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).
Taysom Hill's 5.34 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a a noteworthy decrease in his rushing talent over last season's 6.43 rate.
The opposing side have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 100 per game) versus the Patriots defense this year.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New England's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the best in football.

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