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Taylor Heinicke TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

Taylor Heinicke TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+186).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -245.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Falcons offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.58 seconds per snap.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Falcons profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in the league vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year (72.9% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the poor Chicago Bears defense has conceded a staggering 1.87 passing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 48.0% red zone pass rate.

In this week's contest, Taylor Heinicke is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 29.8.

Taylor Heinicke's 55.2% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a remarkable decrease in his throwing precision over last year's 63.0% mark.

More Taylor Heinicke Player Props

Taylor Heinicke TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

Taylor Heinicke TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17