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Taylor Heinicke TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts

Taylor Heinicke TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 51.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 49.2% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect Taylor Heinicke to throw 33.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 11th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

Taylor Heinicke's 50.9% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteable regression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 63.0% mark.

More Taylor Heinicke Player Props

Taylor Heinicke TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts

Taylor Heinicke TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16