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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 200.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call 70.8 offensive plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The projections expect Taylor Heinicke to throw 36.0 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 54.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Taylor Heinicke's 154.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows a remarkable diminishment in his passing proficiency over last season's 202.0 rate.
  • Taylor Heinicke's 51.0% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteworthy decrease in his passing precision over last year's 63.0% figure.
  • Taylor Heinicke's 5.66 adjusted yards-per-target this year conveys an impressive diminishment in his passing efficiency over last year's 7.0% figure.
  • This year, the fierce New Orleans Saints defense has given up a mere 209.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 6th-best in football.

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