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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 204.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 200.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 204.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Falcons offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.58 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Falcons profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (264.0 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in the league vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year (72.9% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Taylor Heinicke is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 29.8.
  • Taylor Heinicke's 161.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a substantial decline in his throwing proficiency over last season's 202.0 figure.
  • Taylor Heinicke's 55.2% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a remarkable decrease in his throwing precision over last year's 63.0% mark.
  • Taylor Heinicke's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, notching a mere 6.00 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.02 figure last year.

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