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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 205.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 201.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 205.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 51.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect Taylor Heinicke to throw 33.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 11th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • Taylor Heinicke's 50.9% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteable regression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 63.0% mark.
  • Taylor Heinicke's throwing effectiveness has diminished this year, notching just 5.81 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.02 rate last year.

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