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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Interceptions
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call 70.9 offensive plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The Saints have intercepted 1.00 balls per game this year, grading out as the 4th-best defense in football by this metric.
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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