My Account Log Out
 
 
Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Completions
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call 70.9 offensive plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This year, the daunting Saints defense has yielded a meager 63.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in football.
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™