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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Carries
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the league (43.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call 70.9 offensive plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Atlanta O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been very good this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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