Taylor Heinicke Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Taylor Heinicke

NFL · Player Props

Taylor Heinicke

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 17, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Taylor Heinicke Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to run on 50.9% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects the Falcons offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.58 seconds per snap.
When it comes to blocking for rushers (and the significance it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 2nd-best in the league last year.
The Bears defensive ends project as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

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