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Tanner Hudson

Tanner Hudson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Tanner Hudson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+760/-1050).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +770 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +760.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may pass less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.9% red zone pass rate.

The Steelers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (39.2 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Bengals have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 50.3 plays per game.

While Tanner Hudson has garnered 15.4% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in Cincinnati's pass game near the end zone in this week's contest at 7.3%.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.

The Steelers defensive tackles profile as the 4th-worst group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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